The Kansas City Chiefs enter the 2026 NFL season facing an uphill battle to reclaim the AFC West after a disastrous 2025 campaign. They finished with a 6-11 record, missing the playoffs for the first time in years, compounded by quarterback Patrick Mahomes suffering a season-ending ACL tear. Analysts view the setback as a potential reset point, forcing roster changes that could rebuild long-term Super Bowl contention.

Despite the struggles, the Chiefs remain betting favorites to win the division, largely due to the legacy of Mahomes and head coach Andy Reid. CBS Sports analyst Tyler Sullivan argues that Kansas City’s pedigree keeps them in the conversation, but their success depends entirely on Mahomes’ recovery. If he returns at less than full strength, the team may lack the offensive firepower to overcome strong division rivals.

The Denver Broncos remain an elite unit, and the Los Angeles Chargers still have Justin Herbert’s potential to fulfill. With the division more competitive than in recent years, the Chiefs can no longer rely on dominance—they’ll need health, depth, and a quick turnaround to reclaim their place at the top.